Details

Autor(en) / Beteiligte

• Auer, Cornelia
• Kriegler, Elmar
• Carlsen, Henrik
• Kok, Kasper
• Pedde, Simona
• Krey, Volker
• Müller, Boris

Titel

Climate change scenario services: From science to facilitating action

Ist Teil von

• One earth (Cambridge, Mass.), 2021-08, Vol.4 (8), p.1074-1082

Ort / Verlag

Elsevier Inc

Erscheinungsjahr

2021

Link zum Volltext

Quelle

Alma/SFX Local Collection

Beschreibungen/Notizen

• The goal of limiting global warming to well below 2°C as set out in the Paris Agreement calls for a strategic assessment of societal pathways and policy strategies. Besides policy makers, new powerful actors from the private sector, including finance, have stepped up to engage in forward-looking assessments of a Paris-compliant and climate-resilient future. Climate change scenarios have addressed this demand by providing scientific insights on the possible pathways ahead to limit warming in line with the Paris climate goal. Despite the increased interest, the potential of climate change scenarios has not been fully unleashed, mostly due to a lack of an intermediary service that provides guidance and access to climate change scenarios. This perspective presents the concept of a climate change scenario service, its components, and a prototypical implementation to overcome this shortcoming aiming to make scenarios accessible to a broader audience of societal actors and decision makers. [Display omitted] Sustainable, climate-resilient societal transformation requires forward-looking techniques. Climate change scenarios can provide a scientific basis for coordinated discourse and strategic planning. This perspective presents the concept of climate change scenario services, which addresses a gap in scenario research by fostering understanding, use, and co-production of climate change scenario knowledge based on user needs. The envisioned service aims to enhance the salience, legitimacy, and credibility of climate change scenarios for users from policy to business and finance, acting at various scales.