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World affairs (Washington), 2014-07, Vol.177 (2), p.58-65
Ort / Verlag
Washington: World Affairs Institute in partnership with the American Peace Society
Erscheinungsjahr
2014
Link zum Volltext
Quelle
Worldwide Political Science Abstracts
Beschreibungen/Notizen
The choice of outcome in the Russia-Ukraine standoff is largely Vladimir Putin's. Ukraine and the West are not powerless, but they can at most anticipate, prepare for, and deter what might be Putin's next move. This does not mean that they are victims of superior statecraft, however. His admirers may regard Putin as a master strategist, whose petulance and unpredictability give him the upper hand in relations with the West and Ukraine. In fact, the opposite is true. Putin has maneuvered himself, and Russia, into a position of Zugzwang -- a chess term denoting a condition in which one's king has to move, but cannot, because any move would result in check. Putin has twisted himself into policy as well as rhetorical knots as a result of his absurd insistence that Ukraine's post-Yanukovych government is unconstitutional. If Russia continues to rattle sabers, threaten to invade, and foment unrest in Ukraine's southeast, there will be cold war.