Philosophy of science, 2013-12, Vol.80 (5), p.745-757
2013
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Details
- Autor(en) / Beteiligte
- Titel
- The Evolution of Bayesian Updating
- Ist Teil von
- Philosophy of science, 2013-12, Vol.80 (5), p.745-757
- Ort / Verlag
- Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press
- Erscheinungsjahr
- 2013
- Quelle
- Alma/SFX Local Collection
- Beschreibungen/Notizen
- An evolutionary basis for Bayesian rationality is suggested, by considering how natural selection would operate on an organism’s ‘policy’ for choosing an action depending on an environmental signal. It is shown that the evolutionarily optimal policy, as judged by the criterion of maximal expected reproductive output, is the policy that, for each signal, picks an action that maximizes conditional expected output given that signal. This suggests a possible route by which Bayes-rational creatures might have evolved.
- Sprache
- Englisch
- Identifikatoren
- ISSN: 0031-8248eISSN: 1539-767XDOI: 10.1086/674058Titel-ID: cdi_crossref_primary_10_1086_674058
- Format
- –
- Schlagworte
- Animals, Bayesian analysis, Bayesian method, Environment, Environmental policy, Epistemology. Philosophy of science. Theory of knowledge, Evolution, Evolutionary theory, Expected utility, Natural selection, Optimal policy, Output potential, Philosophy, Philosophy of science, Predators, Probability distributions, Rationality, Snakes, State of nature