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Model Improvement via Systematic Investigation of Physics Tendencies

Monthly weather review, 2020-02, Vol.148 (2), p.671-688

2020

Volltextzugriff (PDF)

Representing Forecast Error in a Convection-Permitting Ensemble System

Monthly weather review, 2014-12, Vol.142 (12), p.4519-4541

2014

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Toward Unifying Short-Term and Next-Day Convection-Allowing Ensemble Forecast Systems with a Continuously Cycling 3-km Ensemble Kalman Filter over the Entire Conterminous United States

Weather and forecasting, 2021-04, Vol.36 (2), p.379-405

2021

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NCAR’s Experimental Real-Time Convection-Allowing Ensemble Prediction System

Weather and forecasting, 2015-12, Vol.30 (6), p.1645-1654

2015

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A Comparison of Neural-Network and Surrogate-Severe Probabilistic Convective Hazard Guidance Derived from a Convection-Allowing Model

Weather and forecasting, 2020-10, Vol.35 (5), p.1981-2000

2020

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Characterizing and Optimizing Precipitation Forecasts from a Convection-Permitting Ensemble Initialized by a Mesoscale Ensemble Kalman Filter

Weather and forecasting, 2014-12, Vol.29 (6), p.1295-1318

2014

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Sensitivity of Central Oklahoma Convection Forecasts to Upstream Potential Vorticity Anomalies during Two Strongly Forced Cases during MPEX

Monthly weather review, 2015-10, Vol.143 (10), p.4064-4087

2015

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Initial Conditions for Convection-Allowing Ensembles over the Conterminous United States

Monthly weather review, 2020-07, Vol.148 (7), p.2645-2669

2020

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Sensitivity of Northern Great Plains Convection Forecasts to Upstream and Downstream Forecast Errors

Monthly weather review, 2017-06, Vol.145 (6), p.2141-2163

2017

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Next-Day Prediction of Tornadoes Using Convection-Allowing Models with 1-km Horizontal Grid Spacing

Weather and forecasting, 2019-08, Vol.34 (4), p.1117-1135

2019

Volltextzugriff (PDF)

Short-Term Convection-Allowing Ensemble Precipitation Forecast Sensitivity to Resolution of Initial Condition Perturbations and Central Initial States

Weather and forecasting, 2022-07, Vol.37 (7), p.1259-1286

2022

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Empirical Localization Functions for Ensemble Kalman Filter Data Assimilation in Regions with and without Precipitation

Monthly weather review, 2015-09, Vol.143 (9), p.3664-3679

2015

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Severe Weather Prediction Using Storm Surrogates from an Ensemble Forecasting System

Weather and forecasting, 2016-02, Vol.31 (1), p.255-271

2016

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A Simple Model for the Anomalous Counterclockwise Turning of the Surface Wind with Time over the Great Plains of the United States

Journal of the atmospheric sciences, 2018-09, Vol.75 (9), p.2971-2981

2018

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Sensitivity of Dryline Convection Forecasts to Upstream Forecast Errors for Two Weakly Forced MPEX Cases

Monthly weather review, 2017-05, Vol.145 (5), p.1831-1852

2017

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Relationship of Convection Initiation and Subsequent Storm Strength to Ensemble Simulated Environmental Conditions during IOP3b of VORTEX Southeast 2017

Monthly weather review, 2021-10, Vol.149 (10), p.3265-3287

2021

Volltextzugriff (PDF)

NCAR’S REAL-TIME CONVECTION-ALLOWING ENSEMBLE PROJECT

Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2019-02, Vol.100 (2), p.321-343

2019

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Impact of Assimilating Dropsonde Observations from MPEX on Ensemble Forecasts of Severe Weather Events

Monthly weather review, 2016-10, Vol.144 (10), p.3799-3823

2016

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Explicit Forecasts of Low-Level Rotation from Convection-Allowing Models for Next-Day Tornado Prediction

Weather and forecasting, 2016-10, Vol.31 (5), p.1591-1614

2016

Volltextzugriff (PDF)

Assimilation of a Coordinated Fleet of Uncrewed Aircraft System Observations in Complex Terrain: EnKF System Design and Preliminary Assessment

Monthly weather review, 2021-05, Vol.149 (5), p.1459-1480

2021

Volltextzugriff (PDF)

THE WEATHER RESEARCH AND FORECASTING MODEL: Overview, System Efforts, and Future Directions

Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2017-08, Vol.98 (8), p.1717-1738

2017

Volltextzugriff (PDF)

On the Anomalous Counterclockwise Turning of the Surface Wind with Time in the Plains of the United States

Monthly weather review, 2018-02, Vol.146 (2), p.467-484

2018

Volltextzugriff (PDF)

Lower-Tropospheric Influences on the Timing and Intensity of Afternoon Severe Convection over Modest Terrain in a Convection-Allowing Ensemble

Weather and forecasting, 2019-12, Vol.34 (6), p.1633-1656

2019

Volltextzugriff (PDF)

A Real-Time Convection-Allowing Ensemble Prediction System Initialized by Mesoscale Ensemble Kalman Filter Analyses

Weather and forecasting, 2015-10, Vol.30 (5), p.1158-1181

2015

Volltextzugriff (PDF)

Systematic Comparison of Convection-Allowing Models during the 2017 NOAA HWT Spring Forecasting Experiment

Weather and forecasting, 2019-10, Vol.34 (5), p.1395-1416

2019

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Model Improvement via Systematic Investigation of Physics Tendencies

Representing Forecast Error in a Convection-Permitting Ensemble System

Toward Unifying Short-Term and Next-Day Convection-Allowing Ensemble Forecast Systems with a Continuously Cycling 3-km Ensemble Kalman Filter over the Entire Conterminous United States

NCAR’s Experimental Real-Time Convection-Allowing Ensemble Prediction System

A Comparison of Neural-Network and Surrogate-Severe Probabilistic Convective Hazard Guidance Derived from a Convection-Allowing Model

Characterizing and Optimizing Precipitation Forecasts from a Convection-Permitting Ensemble Initialized by a Mesoscale Ensemble Kalman Filter

Sensitivity of Central Oklahoma Convection Forecasts to Upstream Potential Vorticity Anomalies during Two Strongly Forced Cases during MPEX

Initial Conditions for Convection-Allowing Ensembles over the Conterminous United States

Sensitivity of Northern Great Plains Convection Forecasts to Upstream and Downstream Forecast Errors

Next-Day Prediction of Tornadoes Using Convection-Allowing Models with 1-km Horizontal Grid Spacing

Short-Term Convection-Allowing Ensemble Precipitation Forecast Sensitivity to Resolution of Initial Condition Perturbations and Central Initial States

Empirical Localization Functions for Ensemble Kalman Filter Data Assimilation in Regions with and without Precipitation

Severe Weather Prediction Using Storm Surrogates from an Ensemble Forecasting System

A Simple Model for the Anomalous Counterclockwise Turning of the Surface Wind with Time over the Great Plains of the United States

Sensitivity of Dryline Convection Forecasts to Upstream Forecast Errors for Two Weakly Forced MPEX Cases

Relationship of Convection Initiation and Subsequent Storm Strength to Ensemble Simulated Environmental Conditions during IOP3b of VORTEX Southeast 2017

NCAR’S REAL-TIME CONVECTION-ALLOWING ENSEMBLE PROJECT

Impact of Assimilating Dropsonde Observations from MPEX on Ensemble Forecasts of Severe Weather Events

Explicit Forecasts of Low-Level Rotation from Convection-Allowing Models for Next-Day Tornado Prediction

Assimilation of a Coordinated Fleet of Uncrewed Aircraft System Observations in Complex Terrain: EnKF System Design and Preliminary Assessment

THE WEATHER RESEARCH AND FORECASTING MODEL: Overview, System Efforts, and Future Directions

On the Anomalous Counterclockwise Turning of the Surface Wind with Time in the Plains of the United States

Lower-Tropospheric Influences on the Timing and Intensity of Afternoon Severe Convection over Modest Terrain in a Convection-Allowing Ensemble

A Real-Time Convection-Allowing Ensemble Prediction System Initialized by Mesoscale Ensemble Kalman Filter Analyses

Systematic Comparison of Convection-Allowing Models during the 2017 NOAA HWT Spring Forecasting Experiment

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