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Statistics of Earthquake Activity: Models and Methods for Earthquake Predictability Studies

Annual review of earth and planetary sciences, 2017-08, Vol.45 (1), p.497-527

Ogata, Yosihiko

2017

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Prediction and validation of short-to-long-term earthquake probabilities in inland Japan using the hierarchical space–time ETAS and space–time Poisson process models

Earth, planets, and space, 2022-07, Vol.74 (1), p.1-12, Article 110

Ogata, Yosihiko

2022

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Forecasting of a Large Earthquake: An Outlook of the Research

Seismological research letters, 2017-07, Vol.88 (4), p.1117-1126

Ogata, Yosihiko

2017

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Significant improvements of the space-time ETAS model for forecasting of accurate baseline seismicity

Earth, planets, and space, 2011-01, Vol.63 (3), p.217-229

Ogata, Yosihiko

2011

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Inverse analysis of seismic activity rate changes for severely incomplete sequences: comparison of aftershock activity patterns immediately following the 2023 M6.5 and 2024 M7.6 Noto Peninsula earthquakes

Earth, planets, and space, 2024-12, Vol.76 (1), p.112-9

2024

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Forecasting the magnitude of the largest expected earthquake

Nature communications, 2019-09, Vol.10 (1), p.4051-11, Article 4051

2019

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A Prospect of Earthquake Prediction Research

Statistical science, 2013-11, Vol.28 (4), p.521-541

Ogata, Yosihiko

2013

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Pre‐seismic anomalies in seismicity and crustal deformation: case studies of the 2007 Noto Hanto earthquake of M6.9 and the 2007 Chuetsu‐oki earthquake of M6.8 after the 2004 Chuetsu earthquake of M6.8

Geophysical journal international, 2011-07, Vol.186 (1), p.331-348

Ogata, Yosihiko

2011

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Visualizing heterogeneities of earthquake hypocenter catalogs: modeling, analysis, and compensation

Progress in earth and planetary science, 2021-01, Vol.8 (1), p.1-20, Article 8

Ogata, Yosihiko

2021

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Statistical Monitoring and Early Forecasting of the Earthquake Sequence: Case Studies after the 2019 M 6.4 Searles Valley Earthquake, California

Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 2020-08, Vol.110 (4), p.1781-1798

2020

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Cluster analysis of spatial point patterns: posterior distribution of parents inferred from offspring

Japanese journal of statistics and data science, 2020-06, Vol.3 (1), p.367-390

Ogata, Yosihiko

2020

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Data completeness of the Kumamoto earthquake sequence in the JMA catalog and its influence on the estimation of the ETAS parameters

Earth, planets, and space, 2017-02, Vol.69 (1), p.1, Article 36

2017

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Forecasting large aftershocks within one day after the main shock

Scientific reports, 2013-07, Vol.3 (1), p.2218-2218, Article 2218

2013

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Constraining the magnitude of the largest event in a foreshock–main shock–aftershock sequence

Geophysical journal international, 2018-01, Vol.212 (1), p.1-13

2018

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Estimating the ETAS model from an early aftershock sequence

Geophysical research letters, 2014-02, Vol.41 (3), p.850-857

2014

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Cluster-based foreshock discrimination model with flexible time horizon and mainshock magnitudes

Progress in earth and planetary science, 2023-12, Vol.10 (1), p.20-15, Article 20

2023

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Wide-area seismicity anomalies before the 2011 Tohoku–Oki earthquake

Geophysical journal international, 2020-11, Vol.223 (2), p.1304-1312

2020

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Detecting fluid signals in seismicity data through statistical earthquake modeling

Journal of Geophysical Research - Solid Earth, 2005-05, Vol.110 (B5), p.B05S07-n/a

2005

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Spatial variations in seismicity characteristics in and around the source region of the 2019 Yamagata-Oki Earthquake, Japan

Earth, planets, and space, 2021-02, Vol.73 (1), p.1-10, Article 40

2021

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Characteristics of seismic activity before and after the 2018 M6.7 Hokkaido Eastern Iburi earthquake

Earth, planets, and space, 2019-11, Vol.71 (1), p.1-17, Article 130

2019

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Spatiotemporal variations of interplate slip rates in northeast Japan inverted from recurrence intervals of repeating earthquakes

Geophysical journal international, 2017-01, Vol.208 (1), p.468-481

2017

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Modeling seismic swarms triggered by aseismic transients

Earth and planetary science letters, 2009-04, Vol.281 (1), p.59-69

2009

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Space-time model for regional seismicity and detection of crustal stress changes

Journal of Geophysical Research - Solid Earth, 2004-03, Vol.109 (B3), p.B03308-n/a

Ogata, Yosihiko

2004

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Estimating Real Seismicity Rates from Nonhomogeneously Recorded Earthquake Catalogs

Seismological research letters, 2024-11, Vol.95 (6), p.3604-3616

Ogata, Yosihiko

2024

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Statistical monitoring of aftershock sequences: a case study of the 2015 Mw7.8 Gorkha, Nepal, earthquake

Earth, planets, and space, 2016-03, Vol.68 (1), p.1, Article 44

2016

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Statistics of Earthquake Activity: Models and Methods for Earthquake Predictability Studies

Prediction and validation of short-to-long-term earthquake probabilities in inland Japan using the hierarchical space–time ETAS and space–time Poisson process models

Forecasting of a Large Earthquake: An Outlook of the Research

Significant improvements of the space-time ETAS model for forecasting of accurate baseline seismicity

Inverse analysis of seismic activity rate changes for severely incomplete sequences: comparison of aftershock activity patterns immediately following the 2023 M6.5 and 2024 M7.6 Noto Peninsula earthquakes

Forecasting the magnitude of the largest expected earthquake

A Prospect of Earthquake Prediction Research

Pre‐seismic anomalies in seismicity and crustal deformation: case studies of the 2007 Noto Hanto earthquake of M6.9 and the 2007 Chuetsu‐oki earthquake of M6.8 after the 2004 Chuetsu earthquake of M6.8

Visualizing heterogeneities of earthquake hypocenter catalogs: modeling, analysis, and compensation

Statistical Monitoring and Early Forecasting of the Earthquake Sequence: Case Studies after the 2019 M 6.4 Searles Valley Earthquake, California

Cluster analysis of spatial point patterns: posterior distribution of parents inferred from offspring

Data completeness of the Kumamoto earthquake sequence in the JMA catalog and its influence on the estimation of the ETAS parameters

Forecasting large aftershocks within one day after the main shock

Constraining the magnitude of the largest event in a foreshock–main shock–aftershock sequence

Estimating the ETAS model from an early aftershock sequence

Cluster-based foreshock discrimination model with flexible time horizon and mainshock magnitudes

Wide-area seismicity anomalies before the 2011 Tohoku–Oki earthquake

Detecting fluid signals in seismicity data through statistical earthquake modeling

Spatial variations in seismicity characteristics in and around the source region of the 2019 Yamagata-Oki Earthquake, Japan

Characteristics of seismic activity before and after the 2018 M6.7 Hokkaido Eastern Iburi earthquake

Spatiotemporal variations of interplate slip rates in northeast Japan inverted from recurrence intervals of repeating earthquakes

Modeling seismic swarms triggered by aseismic transients

Space-time model for regional seismicity and detection of crustal stress changes

Estimating Real Seismicity Rates from Nonhomogeneously Recorded Earthquake Catalogs

Statistical monitoring of aftershock sequences: a case study of the 2015 Mw7.8 Gorkha, Nepal, earthquake

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