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Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts' Probabilities

1. Aufl., 2006

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Estimating Multiparameter Partial Expected Value of Perfect Information from a Probabilistic Sensitivity Analysis Sample: A Nonparametric Regression Approach

Medical decision making, 2014-04, Vol.34 (3), p.311-326

2014

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Bayesian history matching of complex infectious disease models using emulation: a tutorial and a case study on HIV in Uganda

PLoS computational biology, 2015-01, Vol.11 (1), p.e1003968-e1003968

2015

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A web-based tool for eliciting probability distributions from experts

Environmental modelling & software : with environment data news, 2014-02, Vol.52, p.1-4

2014

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An extended isogeometric collocation method for fracture analysis

International journal for numerical methods in engineering, 2024-08, Vol.125 (16), p.n/a

2024

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Probabilistic sensitivity analysis of complex models: a Bayesian approach

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B, Statistical methodology, 2004-08, Vol.66 (3), p.751-769

2004

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Estimating the Expected Value of Sample Information Using the Probabilistic Sensitivity Analysis Sample: A Fast, Nonparametric Regression-Based Method

Medical decision making, 2015-07, Vol.35 (5), p.570-583

2015

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Multivariate Gaussian Process Emulators With Nonseparable Covariance Structures

Technometrics, 2013-02, Vol.55 (1), p.47-56

2013

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Assurance methods for designing a clinical trial with a delayed treatment effect

Statistics in medicine, 2024-08, Vol.43 (19), p.3595-3612

2024

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An Efficient Method for Computing Single-Parameter Partial Expected Value of Perfect Information

Medical decision making, 2013-08, Vol.33 (6), p.755-766

2013

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Managing structural uncertainty in health economic decision models: a discrepancy approach

Applied statistics, 2012-01, Vol.61 (1), p.25-45

2012

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Approximate Bayesian Computation and Simulation-Based Inference for Complex Stochastic Epidemic Models

Statistical science, 2018-02, Vol.33 (1), p.4-18

2018

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Assurance calculations for planning clinical trials with time-to-event outcomes

Statistics in medicine, 2014-01, Vol.33 (1), p.31-45

2014

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Incorporating Genuine Prior Information about Between-Study Heterogeneity in Random Effects Pairwise and Network Meta-analyses

Medical decision making, 2018-05, Vol.38 (4), p.531-542

2018

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Calibrating cardiac electrophysiology models using latent Gaussian processes on atrial manifolds

Scientific reports, 2022-10, Vol.12 (1), p.16572-16572, Article 16572

2022

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Interventions to reduce the risk of surgically transmitted Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease: a cost-effective modelling review

Health technology assessment (Winchester, England), 2020-02, Vol.24 (11), p.1-150

2020

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Bayesian Calibration of Electrophysiology Models Using Restitution Curve Emulators

Frontiers in physiology, 2021-07, Vol.12, p.693015

2021

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Choice of time horizon critical in estimating costs and effects of changes to HIV programmes

PloS one, 2018-05, Vol.13 (5), p.e0196480-e0196480

2018

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Gaussian process manifold interpolation for probabilistic atrial activation maps and uncertain conduction velocity

Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series A: Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences, 2020-06, Vol.378 (2173), p.20190345-20190345

2020

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Decision-Theoretic Sensitivity Analysis for Complex Computer Models

Technometrics, 2009-05, Vol.51 (2), p.121-129

Oakley, Jeremy E.

2009

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Probabilistic Interpolation of Uncertain Local Activation Times on Human Atrial Manifolds

IEEE transactions on biomedical engineering, 2020-01, Vol.67 (1), p.99-109

2020

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Universal test, treat, and keep: improving ART retention is key in cost-effective HIV control in Uganda

BMC infectious diseases, 2017-05, Vol.17 (1), p.322-322, Article 322

2017

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Quantifying atrial anatomy uncertainty from clinical data and its impact on electro-physiology simulation predictions

Medical image analysis, 2020-04, Vol.61, p.101626-101626, Article 101626

2020

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Assurance for clinical trial design with normally distributed outcomes: Eliciting uncertainty about variances

Pharmaceutical statistics : the journal of the pharmaceutical industry, 2020-11, Vol.19 (6), p.827-839

2020

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Corrigendum: Bayesian Calibration of Electrophysiology Models Using Restitution Curve Emulators

Frontiers in physiology, 2021-10, Vol.12, p.765622-765622

2021

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Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts' Probabilities

Estimating Multiparameter Partial Expected Value of Perfect Information from a Probabilistic Sensitivity Analysis Sample: A Nonparametric Regression Approach

Bayesian history matching of complex infectious disease models using emulation: a tutorial and a case study on HIV in Uganda

A web-based tool for eliciting probability distributions from experts

An extended isogeometric collocation method for fracture analysis

Probabilistic sensitivity analysis of complex models: a Bayesian approach

Estimating the Expected Value of Sample Information Using the Probabilistic Sensitivity Analysis Sample: A Fast, Nonparametric Regression-Based Method

Multivariate Gaussian Process Emulators With Nonseparable Covariance Structures

Assurance methods for designing a clinical trial with a delayed treatment effect

An Efficient Method for Computing Single-Parameter Partial Expected Value of Perfect Information

Managing structural uncertainty in health economic decision models: a discrepancy approach

Approximate Bayesian Computation and Simulation-Based Inference for Complex Stochastic Epidemic Models

Assurance calculations for planning clinical trials with time-to-event outcomes

Incorporating Genuine Prior Information about Between-Study Heterogeneity in Random Effects Pairwise and Network Meta-analyses

Calibrating cardiac electrophysiology models using latent Gaussian processes on atrial manifolds

Interventions to reduce the risk of surgically transmitted Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease: a cost-effective modelling review

Bayesian Calibration of Electrophysiology Models Using Restitution Curve Emulators

Choice of time horizon critical in estimating costs and effects of changes to HIV programmes

Gaussian process manifold interpolation for probabilistic atrial activation maps and uncertain conduction velocity

Decision-Theoretic Sensitivity Analysis for Complex Computer Models

Probabilistic Interpolation of Uncertain Local Activation Times on Human Atrial Manifolds

Universal test, treat, and keep: improving ART retention is key in cost-effective HIV control in Uganda

Quantifying atrial anatomy uncertainty from clinical data and its impact on electro-physiology simulation predictions

Assurance for clinical trial design with normally distributed outcomes: Eliciting uncertainty about variances

Corrigendum: Bayesian Calibration of Electrophysiology Models Using Restitution Curve Emulators

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