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Predictability of Sudden Stratospheric Warmings in the ECMWF Extended-Range Forecast System

Monthly weather review, 2018-04, Vol.146 (4), p.1063-1075

Karpechko, Alexey Yu

2018

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Sensitivity of QBO teleconnection to model circulation biases

Quarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2021-04, Vol.147 (737), p.2147-2159

2021

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Atmospheric Circulation Response to Anomalous Siberian Forcing in October 2016 and its Long‐Range Predictability

Geophysical research letters, 2019-03, Vol.46 (5), p.2800-2810

2019

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The Arctic has warmed nearly four times faster than the globe since 1979

Communications earth & environment, 2022-08, Vol.3 (1), p.1-10, Article 168

2022

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Predicting Sudden Stratospheric Warming 2018 and Its Climate Impacts With a Multimodel Ensemble

Geophysical research letters, 2018-12, Vol.45 (24), p.13,538-13,546

2018

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Skilful seasonal predictions of Baltic Sea ice cover

Environmental research letters, 2015-04, Vol.10 (4), p.44007

2015

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Influence of the Ural High on Air Temperatures over Eastern Europe and Northern China during Extended Winter

Journal of climate, 2022-02, Vol.35 (4), p.1309-1325

2022

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Arctic Stratosphere Dynamical Response to Global Warming

Journal of climate, 2017-09, Vol.30 (17), p.7071-7086

2017

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Predictability of downward propagation of major sudden stratospheric warmings

Quarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2017-04, Vol.143 (704), p.1459-1470

2017

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Climate Change Fosters Competing Effects of Dynamics and Thermodynamics in Seasonal Predictability of Arctic Sea Ice

Journal of climate, 2022-05, Vol.35 (9), p.2849-2865

2022

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Amplified Decadal Variability of Extratropical Surface Temperatures by Stratosphere‐Troposphere Coupling

Geophysical research letters, 2023-08, Vol.50 (16), p.n/a

2023

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Statistical Learning Methods as a Basis for Skillful Seasonal Temperature Forecasts in Europe

Journal of climate, 2019-09, Vol.32 (17), p.5363-5379

2019

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Siberian Snow Forcing in a Dynamically Bias-Corrected Model

Journal of climate, 2020-12, Vol.33 (24), p.10455-10467

2020

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Effects of Arctic sea-ice concentration on turbulent surface fluxes in four atmospheric reanalyses

The cryosphere, 2024-03, Vol.18 (2), p.957-976

2024

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The tropical influence on sub‐seasonal predictability of wintertime stratosphere and stratosphere–troposphere coupling

Quarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2024-04, Vol.150 (760), p.1357-1374

2024

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Uncertainties in future climate attributable to uncertainties in future Northern Annular Mode trend

Geophysical research letters, 2010-10, Vol.37 (20), p.n/a

Karpechko, Alexey Yu

2010

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Constraining Future Summer Austral Jet Stream Positions in the CMIP5 Ensemble by Process-Oriented Multiple Diagnostic Regression

Journal of climate, 2016-01, Vol.29 (2), p.673-687

2016

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The Role of the Stratosphere in Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction: 2. Predictability Arising From Stratosphere‐Troposphere Coupling

Journal of geophysical research. Atmospheres, 2020-01, Vol.125 (2), p.n/a

2020

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The Role of the Stratosphere in Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction: 1. Predictability of the Stratosphere

Journal of geophysical research. Atmospheres, 2020-01, Vol.125 (2), p.n/a

2020

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Improving Antarctic Total Ozone Projections by a Process-Oriented Multiple Diagnostic Ensemble Regression

Journal of the atmospheric sciences, 2013-12, Vol.70 (12), p.3959-3976

2013

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The Climate‐system Historical Forecast Project: do stratosphere‐resolving models make better seasonal climate predictions in boreal winter?

Quarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2016-04, Vol.142 (696), p.1413-1427

2016

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Attribution of polar warming to human influence

Nature geoscience, 2008-11, Vol.1 (11), p.750-754

2008

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Variability of water vapour in the Arctic stratosphere

Atmospheric chemistry and physics, 2016-04, Vol.16 (7), p.4307-4321

2016

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Northern Hemisphere Stratosphere‐Troposphere Circulation Change in CMIP6 Models: 1. Inter‐Model Spread and Scenario Sensitivity

Journal of geophysical research. Atmospheres, 2022-09, Vol.127 (18), p.n/a

2022

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Observed and modeled tropospheric cold anomalies associated with sudden stratospheric warmings

Journal of geophysical research. Atmospheres, 2016-02, Vol.121 (4), p.1591-1610

2016

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Predictability of Sudden Stratospheric Warmings in the ECMWF Extended-Range Forecast System

Sensitivity of QBO teleconnection to model circulation biases

Atmospheric Circulation Response to Anomalous Siberian Forcing in October 2016 and its Long‐Range Predictability

The Arctic has warmed nearly four times faster than the globe since 1979

Predicting Sudden Stratospheric Warming 2018 and Its Climate Impacts With a Multimodel Ensemble

Skilful seasonal predictions of Baltic Sea ice cover

Influence of the Ural High on Air Temperatures over Eastern Europe and Northern China during Extended Winter

Arctic Stratosphere Dynamical Response to Global Warming

Predictability of downward propagation of major sudden stratospheric warmings

Climate Change Fosters Competing Effects of Dynamics and Thermodynamics in Seasonal Predictability of Arctic Sea Ice

Amplified Decadal Variability of Extratropical Surface Temperatures by Stratosphere‐Troposphere Coupling

Statistical Learning Methods as a Basis for Skillful Seasonal Temperature Forecasts in Europe

Siberian Snow Forcing in a Dynamically Bias-Corrected Model

Effects of Arctic sea-ice concentration on turbulent surface fluxes in four atmospheric reanalyses

The tropical influence on sub‐seasonal predictability of wintertime stratosphere and stratosphere–troposphere coupling

Uncertainties in future climate attributable to uncertainties in future Northern Annular Mode trend

Constraining Future Summer Austral Jet Stream Positions in the CMIP5 Ensemble by Process-Oriented Multiple Diagnostic Regression

The Role of the Stratosphere in Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction: 2. Predictability Arising From Stratosphere‐Troposphere Coupling

The Role of the Stratosphere in Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction: 1. Predictability of the Stratosphere

Improving Antarctic Total Ozone Projections by a Process-Oriented Multiple Diagnostic Ensemble Regression

The Climate‐system Historical Forecast Project: do stratosphere‐resolving models make better seasonal climate predictions in boreal winter?

Attribution of polar warming to human influence

Variability of water vapour in the Arctic stratosphere

Northern Hemisphere Stratosphere‐Troposphere Circulation Change in CMIP6 Models: 1. Inter‐Model Spread and Scenario Sensitivity

Observed and modeled tropospheric cold anomalies associated with sudden stratospheric warmings

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