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Unrealistic Optimism About Future Life Events: A Cautionary Note

Psychological review, 2011-01, Vol.118 (1), p.135-154

2011

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Communicating Environmental Risks: Clarifying the Severity Effect in Interpretations of Verbal Probability Expressions

Journal of experimental psychology. Learning, memory, and cognition, 2011-11, Vol.37 (6), p.1571-1578

2011

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The Average Laboratory Samples a Population of 7,300 Amazon Mechanical Turk Workers

Judgment and Decision Making, 2015-09, Vol.10 (5), p.479-491

2015

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Unrealistic comparative optimism: An unsuccessful search for evidence of a genuinely motivational bias

PloS one, 2017-03, Vol.12 (3), p.e0173136-e0173136

2017

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Lost in translation? Interpretations of the probability phrases used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change in China and the UK

Climatic change, 2013-11, Vol.121 (2), p.415-425

2013

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Severity influences categorical likelihood communications: A case study with Southeast Asian weather forecasters

Scientific reports, 2024-06, Vol.14 (1), p.14607-16, Article 14607

2024

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On the Origin of Utility, Weighting, and Discounting Functions: How They Get Their Shapes and How to Change Their Shapes

Management science, 2015-03, Vol.61 (3), p.687-705

2015

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Bayesian Rationality in Evaluating Multiple Testimonies: Incorporating the Role of Coherence

Journal of experimental psychology. Learning, memory, and cognition, 2009-09, Vol.35 (5), p.1366-1373

2009

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Investigating (sequential) unit asking: An unsuccessful quest for scope sensitivity in willingness to donate judgments

Journal of behavioral decision making, 2023-10, Vol.36 (4)

2023

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Optimism where there is none: Asymmetric belief updating observed with valence-neutral life events

Cognition, 2022-01, Vol.218, p.104939-104939, Article 104939

2022

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A pessimistic view of optimistic belief updating

Cognitive psychology, 2016-11, Vol.90, p.71-127

2016

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Plausibility matters: A challenge to Gilbert's “Spinozan” account of belief formation

Cognition, 2022-03, Vol.220, p.104990-104990, Article 104990

2022

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The Appeal to Expert Opinion: Quantitative Support for a Bayesian Network Approach

Cognitive science, 2016-08, Vol.40 (6), p.1496-1533

2016

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Underlying Wishes and Nudged Choices

Journal of experimental psychology. Applied, 2018-12, Vol.24 (4), p.459-475

2018

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An Appropriate Verbal Probability Lexicon for Communicating Surgical Risks Is Unlikely to Exist

Journal of experimental psychology. Applied, 2022-09, Vol.28 (3), p.538-554

2022

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Public Reception of Climate Science: Coherence, Reliability, and Independence

Topics in cognitive science, 2016-01, Vol.8 (1), p.180-195

2016

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Testing the adaptability of people's use of attribute frame information

Cognition, 2021-07, Vol.212, p.104720-104720, Article 104720

2021

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Anchoring climate change communications

Climatic change, 2017-02, Vol.140 (3-4), p.387-398

2017

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Understanding the coherence of the severity effect and optimism phenomena: Lessons from attention

Consciousness and cognition, 2017-04, Vol.50, p.30-44

Harris, Adam J.L.

2017

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Failures to Replicate a Key Result of the Selective Accessibility Theory of Anchoring

Journal of experimental psychology. General, 2019-09, Vol.148 (9), p.e30-e50

2019

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No evidence for nudging after adjusting for publication bias

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences - PNAS, 2022-08, Vol.119 (31), p.1-e2200300119

2022

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Estimating the probability of negative events

Cognition, 2009, Vol.110 (1), p.51-64

2009

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Conceptual and Direct Replications Fail to Support the Stake-Likelihood Hypothesis as an Explanation for the Interdependence of Utility and Likelihood Judgments

Journal of experimental psychology. General, 2016-04, Vol.145 (4), p.e13-e26

2016

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Exploring open science practices in behavioural public policy research

Royal Society open science, 2024-02, Vol.11 (2), p.231486-8

2024

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Subjective Probability Increases Across Communication Chains: Introducing the Probability Escalation Effect

Cognition, 2024-11, Vol.252, p.105915, Article 105915

2024

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Unrealistic Optimism About Future Life Events: A Cautionary Note

Communicating Environmental Risks: Clarifying the Severity Effect in Interpretations of Verbal Probability Expressions

The Average Laboratory Samples a Population of 7,300 Amazon Mechanical Turk Workers

Unrealistic comparative optimism: An unsuccessful search for evidence of a genuinely motivational bias

Lost in translation? Interpretations of the probability phrases used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change in China and the UK

Severity influences categorical likelihood communications: A case study with Southeast Asian weather forecasters

On the Origin of Utility, Weighting, and Discounting Functions: How They Get Their Shapes and How to Change Their Shapes

Bayesian Rationality in Evaluating Multiple Testimonies: Incorporating the Role of Coherence

Investigating (sequential) unit asking: An unsuccessful quest for scope sensitivity in willingness to donate judgments

Optimism where there is none: Asymmetric belief updating observed with valence-neutral life events

A pessimistic view of optimistic belief updating

Plausibility matters: A challenge to Gilbert's “Spinozan” account of belief formation

The Appeal to Expert Opinion: Quantitative Support for a Bayesian Network Approach

Underlying Wishes and Nudged Choices

An Appropriate Verbal Probability Lexicon for Communicating Surgical Risks Is Unlikely to Exist

Public Reception of Climate Science: Coherence, Reliability, and Independence

Testing the adaptability of people's use of attribute frame information

Anchoring climate change communications

Understanding the coherence of the severity effect and optimism phenomena: Lessons from attention

Failures to Replicate a Key Result of the Selective Accessibility Theory of Anchoring

No evidence for nudging after adjusting for publication bias

Estimating the probability of negative events

Conceptual and Direct Replications Fail to Support the Stake-Likelihood Hypothesis as an Explanation for the Interdependence of Utility and Likelihood Judgments

Exploring open science practices in behavioural public policy research

Subjective Probability Increases Across Communication Chains: Introducing the Probability Escalation Effect

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