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An approximate diffusion process for environmental stochasticity in infectious disease transmission modelling

PLoS computational biology, 2023-05, Vol.19 (5), p.e1011088-e1011088

2023

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Paul J Birrell, Angelos Alexopoulos and Daniela De Angelis's contribution to the Discussion of ‘The Second Discussion Meeting on Statistical aspects of the Covid-19 Pandemic’

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, Statistics in society, 2023-12, Vol.186 (4), p.640-641

2023

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HIV incidence in men who have sex with men in England and Wales 2001–10: a nationwide population study

The Lancet infectious diseases, 2013-04, Vol.13 (4), p.313-318

2013

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Alice Corbella, Anne M Presanis, Paul J Birrell and Daniela De Angelis's contribution to the Discussion of ‘The Second Discussion Meeting on Statistical aspects of the Covid-19 Pandemic’

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, Statistics in society, 2023-12, Vol.186 (4), p.643-645

2023

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Evidence Synthesis for Stochastic Epidemic Models

Statistical science, 2018-02, Vol.33 (1), p.34-43

2018

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Trends in COVID-19 hospital outcomes in England before and after vaccine introduction, a cohort study

Nature communications, 2022-08, Vol.13 (1), p.4834-11, Article 4834

2022

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Authors' reply to the discussion of ‘Estimation of reproduction numbers in real time: conceptual and statistical challenges’ by Pellis et al. in Session 3 of the Royal Statistical Society's Special Topic Meeting on COVID‐19 transmission: 11 June 2021

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, Statistics in society, 2022-11, Vol.185 (Supplement_1), p.S153-S157

2022

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Bayesian modeling to unmask and predict influenza A/H1N1pdm dynamics in London

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences - PNAS, 2011-11, Vol.108 (45), p.18238-18243

2011

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Prospects of elimination of HIV with test-and-treat strategy

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences - PNAS, 2013-09, Vol.110 (39), p.15538-15543

2013

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Real-time modelling of a pandemic influenza outbreak

Health technology assessment (Winchester, England), 2017-10, Vol.21 (58), p.1-118

2017

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Four key challenges in infectious disease modelling using data from multiple sources

Epidemics, 2015-03, Vol.10 (C), p.83-87

2015

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Forecasting the 2017/2018 seasonal influenza epidemic in England using multiple dynamic transmission models: a case study

BMC public health, 2020-04, Vol.20 (1), p.486-486, Article 486

2020

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Estimation of reproduction numbers in real time: Conceptual and statistical challenges

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, Statistics in society, 2022-11, Vol.185 (Suppl 1), p.S112-S130

2022

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SARS-CoV-2, influenza A/B and respiratory syncytial virus positivity and association with influenza-like illness and self-reported symptoms, over the 2022/23 winter season in the UK: a longitudinal surveillance cohort

BMC medicine, 2024-03, Vol.22 (1), p.143-143, Article 143

2024

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Joint modelling of serological and hospitalization data reveals that high levels of pre-existing immunity and school holidays shaped the influenza A pandemic of 2009 in the Netherlands

Journal of the Royal Society interface, 2015-02, Vol.12 (103), p.20141244

2015

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Exploiting routinely collected severe case data to monitor and predict influenza outbreaks

BMC public health, 2018-06, Vol.18 (1), p.790-790, Article 790

2018

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Tracking elimination of HIV transmission in men who have sex with men in England: a modelling study

The lancet HIV, 2021-07, Vol.8 (7), p.e440-e448

2021

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Reconstructing a spatially heterogeneous epidemic: Characterising the geographic spread of 2009 A/H1N1pdm infection in England

Scientific reports, 2016-07, Vol.6 (1), p.29004-29004, Article 29004

2016

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Challenges in estimation, uncertainty quantification and elicitation for pandemic modelling

Epidemics, 2022-03, Vol.38, p.100547-100547, Article 100547

2022

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Haemodynamic changes with paracetamol in critically-ill children

Journal of critical care, 2017-08, Vol.40, p.108-112

2017

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EFFICIENT REAL-TIME MONITORING OF AN EMERGING INFLUENZA PANDEMIC: HOW FEASIBLE?

The annals of applied statistics, 2020-03, Vol.14 (1), p.74-93

2020

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Extending Bayesian back-calculation to estimate age and time specific HIV incidence

Lifetime data analysis, 2019-10, Vol.25 (4), p.757-780

2019

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Combining models to generate consensus medium-term projections of hospital admissions, occupancy and deaths relating to COVID-19 in England

Royal Society open science, 2024-05, Vol.11 (5), p.231832-16

2024

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Risk of paediatric multisystem inflammatory syndrome (PIMS-TS) during the SARS-CoV-2 alpha and delta variant waves: National observational and modelling study, 2020-21, England

Frontiers in pediatrics, 2022-12, Vol.10, p.1034280

2022

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An approximate diffusion process for environmental stochasticity in infectious disease transmission modelling

Ct threshold values, a proxy for viral load in community SARS-CoV-2 cases, demonstrate wide variation across populations and over time

Paul J Birrell, Angelos Alexopoulos and Daniela De Angelis's contribution to the Discussion of ‘The Second Discussion Meeting on Statistical aspects of the Covid-19 Pandemic’

HIV incidence in men who have sex with men in England and Wales 2001–10: a nationwide population study

Alice Corbella, Anne M Presanis, Paul J Birrell and Daniela De Angelis's contribution to the Discussion of ‘The Second Discussion Meeting on Statistical aspects of the Covid-19 Pandemic’

Evidence Synthesis for Stochastic Epidemic Models

Trends in COVID-19 hospital outcomes in England before and after vaccine introduction, a cohort study

Authors' reply to the discussion of ‘Estimation of reproduction numbers in real time: conceptual and statistical challenges’ by Pellis et al. in Session 3 of the Royal Statistical Society's Special Topic Meeting on COVID‐19 transmission: 11 June 2021

Bayesian modeling to unmask and predict influenza A/H1N1pdm dynamics in London

Prospects of elimination of HIV with test-and-treat strategy

Real-time modelling of a pandemic influenza outbreak

Four key challenges in infectious disease modelling using data from multiple sources

Forecasting the 2017/2018 seasonal influenza epidemic in England using multiple dynamic transmission models: a case study

Estimation of reproduction numbers in real time: Conceptual and statistical challenges

SARS-CoV-2, influenza A/B and respiratory syncytial virus positivity and association with influenza-like illness and self-reported symptoms, over the 2022/23 winter season in the UK: a longitudinal surveillance cohort

Joint modelling of serological and hospitalization data reveals that high levels of pre-existing immunity and school holidays shaped the influenza A pandemic of 2009 in the Netherlands

Exploiting routinely collected severe case data to monitor and predict influenza outbreaks

Tracking elimination of HIV transmission in men who have sex with men in England: a modelling study

Reconstructing a spatially heterogeneous epidemic: Characterising the geographic spread of 2009 A/H1N1pdm infection in England

Challenges in estimation, uncertainty quantification and elicitation for pandemic modelling

Haemodynamic changes with paracetamol in critically-ill children

EFFICIENT REAL-TIME MONITORING OF AN EMERGING INFLUENZA PANDEMIC: HOW FEASIBLE?

Extending Bayesian back-calculation to estimate age and time specific HIV incidence

Combining models to generate consensus medium-term projections of hospital admissions, occupancy and deaths relating to COVID-19 in England

Risk of paediatric multisystem inflammatory syndrome (PIMS-TS) during the SARS-CoV-2 alpha and delta variant waves: National observational and modelling study, 2020-21, England

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