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Designing Prediction Markets to Forecast Multi-Stage Elections: The 2022 French Presidential Election

PS, political science & politics, 2022-10, Vol.55 (4), p.719-725

2022

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Longshots, overconfidence and efficiency on the Iowa Electronic Market

International journal of forecasting, 2019-01, Vol.35 (1), p.271-287

2019

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Iowa Electronic Markets Seat Distribution Forecasts for the 2022 U.S. House and Senate Elections: A Retrospective

Polity, 2023-07, Vol.55 (3), p.622-628

2023

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Prediction market accuracy in the long run

International journal of forecasting, 2008-04, Vol.24 (2), p.285-300

2008

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Risk Preference Instability across Institutions: A Dilemma

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences - PNAS, 2005-03, Vol.102 (11), p.4209-4214

2005

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Chapter 80 Results from a Dozen Years of Election Futures Markets Research

Handbook of Experimental Economics Results, 2008, Vol.1, p.742-751

2008

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Trust, Reciprocity, and Social History

Games and economic behavior, 1995-07, Vol.10 (1), p.122-142

1995

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Searching for Google's Value: Using Prediction Markets to Forecast Market Capitalization Prior to an Initial Public Offering

Management science, 2009-03, Vol.55 (3), p.348-361

2009

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Market Design, Manipulation, and Accuracy in Political Prediction Markets: Lessons from the Iowa Electronic Markets

PS, political science & politics, 2014-04, Vol.47 (2), p.293-296

2014

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Partisan Politics and Congressional Election Prospects: Evidence from the Iowa Electronic Markets

PS, political science & politics, 2015-10, Vol.48 (4), p.573-578

2015

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The “play-out” effect and preference reversals: Evidence for noisy maximization

Journal of economic behavior & organization, 2013-10, Vol.94, p.160-171

2013

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Prediction Markets as Decision Support Systems

Information systems frontiers, 2003-01, Vol.5 (1), p.79

2003

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Preference reversals: The impact of truth-revealing monetary incentives

Games and economic behavior, 2010-03, Vol.68 (2), p.443-468

2010

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Mifepristone and misoprostol versus misoprostol alone for uterine evacuation after early pregnancy failure: study protocol for a randomized double blinded placebo-controlled comparison (Triple M Trial)

BMC pregnancy and childbirth, 2019-11, Vol.19 (1), p.443-8, Article 443

2019

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The role of information asymmetry in escalation phenomena: Empirical evidence

Journal of economic behavior & organization, 2009-02, Vol.69 (2), p.135-147

2009

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PUBLIC INFORMATION BIAS AND PREDICTION MARKET ACCURACY

Journal of prediction markets, 2012-12, Vol.1 (3), p.219-231

2012

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Mifepristone followed by misoprostol compared with placebo followed by misoprostol as medical treatment for early pregnancy loss (the Triple M trial): A double-blind placebo-controlled randomised trial

EClinicalMedicine, 2021-02, Vol.32, p.100716, Article 100716

2021

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INCENTIVE AND ACCURACY ISSUES IN MOVIE PREDICTION MARKETS

Journal of prediction markets, 2012-12, Vol.2 (1), p.29-43

2012

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Mifepristone Followed by Misoprostol Compared with Placebo Followed by Misoprostol as Medical Treatment for Early Pregnancy Loss (the Triple M trial): A Double-Blind Placebo-Controlled Randomised Trial

Fertility & reproduction, 2022-09, Vol.4 (3n04), p.99-99

2022

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Memoirs of an indifferent trader: Estimating forecast distributions from prediction markets

Quantitative economics, 2010-07, Vol.1 (1), p.163-186

2010

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Consensus and Differences of Opinion in Electronic Prediction Markets

Electronic markets, 2005-02, Vol.15 (1), p.13-22

2005

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Current and future expectations of mifepristone treatment in early pregnancy failure: a survey among Dutch gynaecologists

Journal of obstetrics and gynaecology, 2019-10, Vol.39 (7), p.1006-1011

2019

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Preference Reversals and Induced Risk Preferences: Evidence for Noisy Maximization

Journal of risk and uncertainty, 2003-10, Vol.27 (2), p.139-170

2003

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The added value of mifepristone to non-surgical treatment regimens for uterine evacuation in case of early pregnancy failure: a systematic review of the literature

European journal of obstetrics & gynecology and reproductive biology, 2015-12, Vol.195, p.18-26

2015

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Sequential use of mifepristone and misoprostol in treatment of early pregnancy failure appears more effective than misoprostol alone: a retrospective study

European journal of obstetrics & gynecology and reproductive biology, 2014-12, Vol.183, p.16-19

2014

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Designing Prediction Markets to Forecast Multi-Stage Elections: The 2022 French Presidential Election

Longshots, overconfidence and efficiency on the Iowa Electronic Market

Iowa Electronic Markets Seat Distribution Forecasts for the 2022 U.S. House and Senate Elections: A Retrospective

Prediction market accuracy in the long run

Risk Preference Instability across Institutions: A Dilemma

Chapter 80 Results from a Dozen Years of Election Futures Markets Research

Trust, Reciprocity, and Social History

Searching for Google's Value: Using Prediction Markets to Forecast Market Capitalization Prior to an Initial Public Offering

Market Design, Manipulation, and Accuracy in Political Prediction Markets: Lessons from the Iowa Electronic Markets

Partisan Politics and Congressional Election Prospects: Evidence from the Iowa Electronic Markets

The “play-out” effect and preference reversals: Evidence for noisy maximization

Prediction Markets as Decision Support Systems

Preference reversals: The impact of truth-revealing monetary incentives

Mifepristone and misoprostol versus misoprostol alone for uterine evacuation after early pregnancy failure: study protocol for a randomized double blinded placebo-controlled comparison (Triple M Trial)

The role of information asymmetry in escalation phenomena: Empirical evidence

PUBLIC INFORMATION BIAS AND PREDICTION MARKET ACCURACY

Mifepristone followed by misoprostol compared with placebo followed by misoprostol as medical treatment for early pregnancy loss (the Triple M trial): A double-blind placebo-controlled randomised trial

INCENTIVE AND ACCURACY ISSUES IN MOVIE PREDICTION MARKETS

Mifepristone Followed by Misoprostol Compared with Placebo Followed by Misoprostol as Medical Treatment for Early Pregnancy Loss (the Triple M trial): A Double-Blind Placebo-Controlled Randomised Trial

Memoirs of an indifferent trader: Estimating forecast distributions from prediction markets

Consensus and Differences of Opinion in Electronic Prediction Markets

Current and future expectations of mifepristone treatment in early pregnancy failure: a survey among Dutch gynaecologists

Preference Reversals and Induced Risk Preferences: Evidence for Noisy Maximization

The added value of mifepristone to non-surgical treatment regimens for uterine evacuation in case of early pregnancy failure: a systematic review of the literature

Sequential use of mifepristone and misoprostol in treatment of early pregnancy failure appears more effective than misoprostol alone: a retrospective study

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