Science (American Association for the Advancement of Science), 2010-12, Vol.330 (6010), p.1496-1501
- Pereira, Henrique M.
- Leadley, Paul W.
- Proença, Vânia
- Alkemade, Rob
- Scharlemann, Jörn P. W.
- Fernandez-Manjarrés, Juan F.
- Araújo, Miguel B.
- Balvanera, Patricia
- Biggs, Reinette
- Cheung, William W. L.
- Chini, Louise
- Cooper, H. David
- Gilman, Eric L.
- Guénette, Sylvie
- Hurtt, George C.
- Huntington, Henry P.
- Mace, Georgina M.
- Oberdorff, Thierry
- Revenga, Carmen
- Rodrigues, Patrícia
- Scholes, Robert J.
- Sumaila, Ussif Rashid
- Walpole, Matt
2010
Details
- Autor(en) / Beteiligte
- Pereira, Henrique M.
- Leadley, Paul W.
- Proença, Vânia
- Alkemade, Rob
- Scharlemann, Jörn P. W.
- Fernandez-Manjarrés, Juan F.
- Araújo, Miguel B.
- Balvanera, Patricia
- Biggs, Reinette
- Cheung, William W. L.
- Chini, Louise
- Cooper, H. David
- Gilman, Eric L.
- Guénette, Sylvie
- Hurtt, George C.
- Huntington, Henry P.
- Mace, Georgina M.
- Oberdorff, Thierry
- Revenga, Carmen
- Rodrigues, Patrícia
- Scholes, Robert J.
- Sumaila, Ussif Rashid
- Walpole, Matt
- Titel
- Scenarios for Global Biodiversity in the 21st Century
- Ist Teil von
- Science (American Association for the Advancement of Science), 2010-12, Vol.330 (6010), p.1496-1501
- Ort / Verlag
- Washington, DC: American Association for the Advancement of Science
- Erscheinungsjahr
- 2010
- Link zum Volltext
- Quelle
- MEDLINE
- Beschreibungen/Notizen
- Quantitative scenarios are coming of age as a tool for evaluating the impact of future socioeconomic development pathways on biodiversity and ecosystem services. We analyze global terrestrial, freshwater, and marine biodiversity scenarios using a range of measures including extinctions, changes in species abundance, habitat loss, and distribution shifts, as well as comparing model projections to observations. Scenarios consistently indicate that biodiversity will continue to decline over the 21st century. However, the range of projected changes is much broader than most studies suggest, partly because there are major opportunities to intervene through better policies, but also because of large uncertainties in projections.
- Sprache
- Englisch
- Identifikatoren
- ISSN: 0036-8075, 1095-9203eISSN: 1095-9203DOI: 10.1126/science.1196624Titel-ID: cdi_wageningen_narcis_oai_library_wur_nl_wurpubs_397366
- Format
- –
- Schlagworte
- Animal and plant ecology, Animal, plant and microbial ecology, Animals, Aquatic Organisms, Biodiversity, Biological and medical sciences, changing climate, Climate change, Climate models, Conservation of Natural Resources, distributions, Ecosystem, Ecosystem models, Ecosystem services, Ecosystems, Endangered & extinct species, Extinct species, Extinction, Extinction, Biological, extinctions, Forecasting, Fundamental and applied biological sciences. Psychology, future, General aspects, Habitat loss, Human influences, International environmental cooperation, land-use, Marine, marine ecosystems, Models, Biological, Natural Resources Management, NATURAL SCIENCES, naturresurshushållning, NATURVETENSKAP, Pathways, Plants, Policies, Policy, Population Dynamics, Projection, range shifts, REVIEW, Species, Species extinction, Synecology, Uncertainty, vulnerability, Wildlife conservation