Details

Autor(en) / Beteiligte

• Li, Ruiyun
• Chen, Bin
• Zhang, Tao
• Ren, Zhehao
• Song, Yimeng
• Xiao, Yixiong
• Hou, Lin
• Cai, Jun
• Xu, Bo
• Li, Miao
• Chan, Karen Kie Yan
• Tu, Ying
• Yang, Mu
• Yang, Jing
• Liu, Zhaoyang
• Shen, Chong
• Wang, Che
• Xu, Lei
• Liu, Qiyong
• Bao, Shuming
• Zhang, Jianqin
• Bi, Yuhai
• Bai, Yuqi
• Deng, Ke
• Zhang, Wusheng
• Huang, Wenyu
• Whittington, Jason D.
• Stenseth, Nils Chr
• Guan, Dabo
• Gong, Peng
• Xu, Bing

Titel

Global COVID-19 pandemic demands joint interventions for the suppression of future waves

Ist Teil von

• Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences - PNAS, 2020-10, Vol.117 (42), p.26151-26157

Ort / Verlag

United States: National Academy of Sciences

Erscheinungsjahr

2020

Link zum Volltext

Quelle

Free E-Journal (出版社公開部分のみ）

Beschreibungen/Notizen

• Emerging evidence suggests a resurgence of COVID-19 in the coming years. It is thus critical to optimize emergency response planning from a broad, integrated perspective. We developed a mathematical model incorporating climate-driven variation in community transmissions and movement-modulated spatial diffusions of COVID-19 into various intervention scenarios. We find that an intensive 8-wk intervention targeting the reduction of local transmissibility and international travel is efficient and effective. Practically, we suggest a tiered implementation of this strategy where interventions are first implemented at locations in what we call the Global Intervention Hub, followed by timely interventions in secondary high-risk locations. We argue that thinking globally, categorizing locations in a hub-and-spoke intervention network, and acting locally, applying interventions at high-risk areas, is a functional strategy to avert the tremendous burden that would otherwise be placed on public health and society.