Details

Autor(en) / Beteiligte

• Postavaru, O.
• Anton, S.R.
• Toma, A.

Titel

COVID-19 pandemic and chaos theory

Ist Teil von

• Mathematics and computers in simulation, 2021-03, Vol.181, p.138-149

Ort / Verlag

Elsevier B.V

Erscheinungsjahr

2021

Quelle

Alma/SFX Local Collection

Beschreibungen/Notizen

• The dynamics of COVID-19 is investigated with regard to complex contributions of the omitted factors. For this purpose, we use a fractional order SEIR model which allows us to calculate the number of infections considering the chaotic contributions into susceptible, exposed, infectious and removed number of individuals. We check our model on Wuhan, China-2019 and South Korea underlying the importance of the chaotic contribution, and then we extend it to Italy and the USA. Results are of great guiding significance to promote evidence-based decisions and policy.