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Autor(en) / Beteiligte
Titel
Serum ferritin levels can predict long-term outcomes in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease
Ist Teil von
  • Gut, 2024, Vol.73 (5), p.825-834
Ort / Verlag
England: BMJ Publishing Group Ltd and British Society of Gastroenterology
Erscheinungsjahr
2024
Beschreibungen/Notizen
  • ObjectiveHyperferritinaemia is associated with liver fibrosis severity in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), but the longitudinal implications have not been thoroughly investigated. We assessed the role of serum ferritin in predicting long-term outcomes or death.DesignWe evaluated the relationship between baseline serum ferritin and longitudinal events in a multicentre cohort of 1342 patients. Four survival models considering ferritin with confounders or non-invasive scoring systems were applied with repeated five-fold cross-validation schema. Prediction performance was evaluated in terms of Harrell’s C-index and its improvement by including ferritin as a covariate.ResultsMedian follow-up time was 96 months. Liver-related events occurred in 7.7%, hepatocellular carcinoma in 1.9%, cardiovascular events in 10.9%, extrahepatic cancers in 8.3% and all-cause mortality in 5.8%. Hyperferritinaemia was associated with a 50% increased risk of liver-related events and 27% of all-cause mortality. A stepwise increase in baseline ferritin thresholds was associated with a statistical increase in C-index, ranging between 0.02 (lasso-penalised Cox regression) and 0.03 (ridge-penalised Cox regression); the risk of developing liver-related events mainly increased from threshold 215.5 µg/L (median HR=1.71 and C-index=0.71) and the risk of overall mortality from threshold 272 µg/L (median HR=1.49 and C-index=0.70). The inclusion of serum ferritin thresholds (215.5 µg/L and 272 µg/L) in predictive models increased the performance of Fibrosis-4 and Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Fibrosis Score in the longitudinal risk assessment of liver-related events (C-indices>0.71) and overall mortality (C-indices>0.65).ConclusionsThis study supports the potential use of serum ferritin values for predicting the long-term prognosis of patients with MASLD.
Sprache
Englisch
Identifikatoren
ISSN: 0017-5749, 1468-3288
eISSN: 1468-3288
DOI: 10.1136/gutjnl-2023-330815
Titel-ID: cdi_pubmed_primary_38199805

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