Details

Autor(en) / Beteiligte

• Ma, H M
• Wang, L
• Shi, J F
• Ying, J M
• Zhu, J
• Chen, L L
• Yue, X P
• Gong, J Y
• Li, X
• Wang, J L
• Dai, M

Titel

A systematic review of international simulation models on the natural history of breast cancer: current understanding and challenges for Chinese-population-specific model development

Ist Teil von

• Zhōnghuá liúxíngbìng zázhì, 2017-10, Vol.38 (10), p.1419

Ort / Verlag

China

Erscheinungsjahr

2017

Quelle

MEDLINE

Beschreibungen/Notizen

• To systematically review the worldwide simulation model studies on the natural history of breast cancer and to summarize related parameters. A structured literature search was conducted in PubMed and the Cochrane Library to identify articles during 1980-2015. Articles were screened independently by two researchers. Health states in the natural history and relevant parameters were extracted. A total of 36 studies were included for analysis, within the earliest one was published in 1990. Most studies were from Europe and America countries, and 2 studies from China. Markov model was mostly applied to evaluating breast cancer screening programs ( =32). Reported health status included "healthy" ( =36), ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS, =17), invasive breast cancer (IBC, =36), and death ( =27). There were two definite classifications for IBC, tumor size ( =9) and TNM staging ( =9, 3 studies reported transition rates). The median (range) of annual transition rates from DCIS to stage-Ⅰ IBC, Ⅰ to Ⅱ, Ⅱ to Ⅲ, Ⅲ to Ⅳ were