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The obesity paradox in stable chronic heart failure does not persist after matching for indicators of disease severity and confounders
Ist Teil von
European journal of heart failure, 2009-12, Vol.11 (12), p.1189-1194
Ort / Verlag
England: Blackwell Publishing Ltd
Erscheinungsjahr
2009
Quelle
MEDLINE
Beschreibungen/Notizen
Aims
To verify whether controlling for indicators of disease severity and confounders represents a solution to the obesity paradox in chronic heart failure (CHF).
Methods and results
From a cohort of 1790 patients, we formed 230 nested matched triplets by individually matching patients with body mass index (BMI) > 30 kg/m2 (Group 3), BMI 20-24.9 k/m2 (Group 1) and BMI 25-29.9 kg/m2 (Group 2), according to NT-proBNP, age, sex, and NYHA class (triplet = one matched patient from each group). Although in the pre-matching cohort, BMI group was a significant univariable prognostic indicator, it did not retain significance [heart rate (HR): 0.91, 95% CI: 0.78-1.05, χ2: 1.67] when controlled for group propensities as covariates. Furthermore, in the matched cohort, 1-year mortality and 3-year mortality did not differ significantly. Here, BMI again failed to reach statistical significance for prognosis, either as a continuous or categorical variable, whether crude or adjusted. This result was confirmed in the patients not selected for matching. NT-proBNP, however, remained statistically significant (log(NT-proBNP): HR: 1.49, 95% CI: 1.13-1.97, χ2: 7.82) after multivariable adjustment.
Conclusion
The obesity paradox does not appear to persist in a matched setting with respect to indicators of disease severity and other confounders. NT-proBNP remains an independent prognostic indicator of adverse outcome irrespective of obesity status.