Details

Autor(en) / Beteiligte

• Casterline, John B.

Titel

The Pace of Fertility Transition: National Patterns in the Second Half of the Twentieth Century

Ist Teil von

• Population and development review, 2001-01, Vol.27 (supp), p.17-52

Ort / Verlag

The Population Council

Erscheinungsjahr

2001

Quelle

Access via Wiley Online Library

Beschreibungen/Notizen

• Examines the pace of fertility decline in terms of why it might proceed rapidly or slowly over the next few decades, focusing on Asia, Africa, & Latin America. Following a look at empirical data on fertility transitions at the national level since 1950, a conceptual framework for considering variation in the pace of fertility change is laid out. Attention is then given to identifying social, economic, & demographic factors that determine the pace of fertility transition, presenting a simple model based on Richard Easterlin's (1975) "synthesis framework." Based on the concepts of path dependence & social effects, the pace of (1) social & economic change, (2) change in economic aspirations & expectations, (3) improvement in birth control provision, & (4) reduction in the moral & social costs of birth control are seen as potentially key to determining the pace of fertility decline. Here, (2) is seen as the key reason for inter-country variation in the pace of fertility decline. Tables, Figures, Appendixes, References. D. Edelman