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Potential effects of oasis expansion on ecosystem service value in a typical inland river basin of northwest China
Ist Teil von
Environmental science and pollution research international, 2023-04, Vol.30 (16), p.48401-48414
Ort / Verlag
Berlin/Heidelberg: Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Erscheinungsjahr
2023
Link zum Volltext
Quelle
SpringerLink (Online service)
Beschreibungen/Notizen
To satisfy an increasing need for living space and food while preserving ecosystem services remains one of today’s biggest challenges. Oases in arid areas have gradually become the main sources for new cultivated land, affecting the supply and transmission of ecosystem services. Yet, little assessment on predicting the effects of oasis expansion on ecosystem service value (ESV) has been available to guide policy makers and ecologists. Here we addressed the connections between oasis expansion and ESV in the middle reaches of the Heihe River Basin in northwest China by linking the Logistic-CA–Markov model and the benefit transfer method. The results showed that the oasis was expected to expand by 419.02 km
2
from 2015 to 2029, with the area of farmland and construction land increasing by 18.87% and 39.05%, respectively. With oasis expansion, the total ESV was expected to increase by 104.25 million RMB from 2015 to 2029. However, oasis expansion encroaches on vegetation, resulting in decline of the values of climate regulation, waste treatment, and biodiversity protection. This study will provide a reference for decision-making in trade-offs involved in land management.