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Oral oncology, 2020-12, Vol.111, p.104917-104917, Article 104917
2020
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Autor(en) / Beteiligte
Titel
Risk-adjustment models in patients undergoing head and neck surgery with reconstruction
Ist Teil von
  • Oral oncology, 2020-12, Vol.111, p.104917-104917, Article 104917
Ort / Verlag
England: Elsevier Ltd
Erscheinungsjahr
2020
Quelle
MEDLINE
Beschreibungen/Notizen
  • •The specialty-specific NSQIP overcomes weaknesses of the original NSQIP calculators.•Strong predictive models for feeding and tracheostomy tube presence were created.•Models for pneumonia, infections, ventilator dependence & length of stay were fair. With the current focus on value-based outcomes and reimbursement models, perioperative risk adjustment is essential. Specialty surgical outcomes are not well predicted by the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS NSQIP); the Head and Neck-Reconstructive Surgery NSQIP was created as a specialty-specific platform for patients undergoing head and neck surgery with flap reconstruction. This study aims to investigate risk prediction models in these patients. The Head and Neck-Reconstructive Surgery NSQIP collected data on patients undergoing head and neck surgery with flap reconstruction from August 1, 2012 to October 20, 2016. Multivariable logistic regression models were created for 9 outcomes (postoperative ventilator dependence, pneumonia, superficial recipient surgical site infection, presence of tracheostomy/nasoenteric (NE)/gastrostomy/gastrojejunostomy(G/GJ) tube 30 days postoperatively, conversion from NE to G/GJ tube, unplanned return to the operating room, length of stay > 7 days). External validation was completed with a more contemporary cohort. A total of 1095 patients were included in the modelling cohort and 407 in the validation cohort. Models performed well predicting tracheostomy, NE, G/GJ tube presence at 30 days postoperatively and conversion from NE to G/GJ tube (c-indices = 0.75–0.91). Models for postoperative pneumonia, superficial recipient surgical site infection, ventilator dependence > 48 h, and length of stay > 7 days were fair (concordance [c]-indices = 0.63–0.69). The predictive model for unplanned return to the operating room was poor (c-index = 0.58). Reliable and discriminant risk prediction models were able to be created for postoperative outcomes using the specialty-specific Head and Neck-Reconstructive Surgery Specific NSQIP.

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