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Details

Autor(en) / Beteiligte
Titel
ASYMPTOTIC PROPERTIES OF THE CUSUM ESTIMATOR FOR THE TIME OF CHANGE IN LINEAR PANEL DATA MODELS
Ist Teil von
  • Econometric theory, 2017-04, Vol.33 (2), p.366-412
Ort / Verlag
New York, USA: Cambridge University Press
Erscheinungsjahr
2017
Link zum Volltext
Quelle
Alma/SFX Local Collection
Beschreibungen/Notizen
  • We consider the problem of estimating the common time of a change in the mean parameters of panel data when dependence is allowed between the cross-sectional units in the form of a common factor. A CUSUM type estimator is proposed, and we establish first and second order asymptotics that can be used to derive consistent confidence intervals for the time of change. Our results improve upon existing theory in two primary directions. Firstly, the conditions we impose on the model errors only pertain to the order of their long run moments, and hence our results hold for nearly all stationary time series models of interest, including nonlinear time series like the ARCH and GARCH processes. Secondly, we study how the asymptotic distribution and norming sequences of the estimator depend on the magnitude of the changes in each cross-section and the common factor loadings. The performance of our results in finite samples is demonstrated with a Monte Carlo simulation study, and we consider applications to two real data sets: the exchange rates of 23 currencies with respect to the US dollar, and the GDP per capita in 113 countries.
Sprache
Englisch
Identifikatoren
ISSN: 0266-4666
eISSN: 1469-4360
DOI: 10.1017/S0266466615000468
Titel-ID: cdi_proquest_miscellaneous_1878788521

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