Details

Autor(en) / Beteiligte

• Eslami-Andergoli, L
• Dale, P. E. R
• Knight, J. M
• McCallum, H

Titel

Approaching tipping points: a focussed review of indicators and relevance to managing intertidal ecosystems

Ist Teil von

• Wetlands ecology and management, 2015-10, Vol.23 (5), p.791-802

Ort / Verlag

Dordrecht: Springer Netherlands

Erscheinungsjahr

2015

Quelle

SpringerLink

Beschreibungen/Notizen

• Abrupt ecosystem regime shifts from one state to another can occur in response to environmental change (such as climate/sea level change). Detecting an approaching tipping point may help management to adapt to or mitigate the effects of catastrophic change. Intertidal wetlands are one of the most vulnerable ecosystems, faced with climate, sea level and anthropogenic changes. Early warning indicators of regime shifts that may be evident include slowing recovery rates from perturbation, increased autocorrelation and variance, changing skewness and self-organised patchiness. We examine these indicators using intertidal examples and discuss the limitations. Managers cannot adapt to or mitigate the effects of state shifts over tipping points if there is no way to detect early warning signals. This detection is highly dependent on system-specific modelling and requires understanding of alternate stable states theory and its application in large, complex ecosystems.