Details

Autor(en) / Beteiligte

• Bannister, Ross N

Titel

How is the Balance of a Forecast Ensemble Affected by Adaptive and Nonadaptive Localization Schemes?

Ist Teil von

• Monthly weather review, 2015-09, Vol.143 (9), p.3680-3699

Ort / Verlag

Washington: American Meteorological Society

Erscheinungsjahr

2015

Quelle

EZB Free E-Journals

Beschreibungen/Notizen

• This paper investigates the effect on balance of a number of Schur product-type localization schemes that have been designed with the primary function of reducing spurious far-field correlations in forecast error statistics. The localization schemes studied comprise a nonadaptive scheme (where the moderation matrix is decomposed in a spectral basis), and two adaptive schemes: a simplified version of Smoothed Ensemble Correlations Raised to a Power (SENCORP) and Ensemble Correlations Raised to a Power (ECO-RAP). The paper shows, the author believes for the first time, how the degree of balance (geostrophic and hydrostatic) implied by the error covariance matrices localized by these schemes can be diagnosed. Here it is considered that an effective localization scheme is one that reduces spurious correlations adequately, but also minimizes disruption of balance (where the "correct" degree of balance or imbalance is assumed to be possessed by the unlocalized ensemble). By varying free parameters that describe each scheme (e.g., the degree of truncation in the schemes that use the spectral basis, the "order" of each scheme, and the degree of ensemble smoothing), it is found that a particular configuration of the ECO-RAP scheme is best suited to the convective-scale system studied. According to the diagnostics this ECO-RAP configuration still weakens geostrophic and hydrostatic balance, but overall this is less so than for other schemes.