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The early part of marine isotopic Stage 11 near 400,000 years ago provides the closest analog to Holocene insolation levels of any interglaciation during the era of strong 100,000-year climatic cycles. The CH
4 concentration measured in Vostok ice fell to ∼450
ppb, and CO
2 values to ∼250
ppm. These natural decreases contrast with the increases in recent millennia and support the early anthropogenic hypothesis of major gas emissions from late-Holocene farming. During the same interval,
δD values fell from typical interglacial to nearly glacial values, indicating a major cooling in Antarctica early in Stage 11. Other evidence suggests that new ice was accumulating during the closest insolation analog to the present day: a major increase in
δ
18O
atm at Vostok, a similar increase in marine
δ
18O values, and re-initiation of ice rafting in the Nordic Sea. The evidence permits extended (>20,000 year) intervals of Stage 11 interglacial warmth in the Antarctic and North Atlantic, yet it also requires that this warmth ended and a new glacial era began when insolation was most similar to recent millennia. The Holocene CO
2 anomaly was produced only in part by direct anthropogenic emissions; over half of the anomaly resulted from the failure of CO
2 values to fall as they had during previous interglaciations because of natural responses, including a sea-ice advance in the Antarctic and ice-sheet growth in the northern hemisphere.
Sprache
Englisch
Identifikatoren
ISSN: 0277-3791
eISSN: 1873-457X
DOI: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2004.10.012
Titel-ID: cdi_proquest_miscellaneous_17326070
Format
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