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Global hydrology 2015: State, trends, and directions
Ist Teil von
Water resources research, 2015-07, Vol.51 (7), p.4923-4947
Ort / Verlag
Washington: Blackwell Publishing Ltd
Erscheinungsjahr
2015
Quelle
Wiley Online Library Journals Frontfile Complete
Beschreibungen/Notizen
Global hydrology has come a long way since the first introduction of the primitive land surface model of Manabe (1969) and the declaration of the “Emergence of Global Hydrology” by Eagleson (1986). Hydrological submodels of varying complexity are now part of global climate models, of models calculating global terrestrial carbon sequestration, of earth system models, and even of integrated assessment models. This paper reviews the current state of global hydrological modeling, discusses past and recent developments, and extrapolates these to future challenges and directions. First, established domains of global hydrological model applications are discussed, in terms of societal and science questions posed, the type of models developed, and recent advances therein. Next, a genealogy of global hydrological models is given. After reviewing recent efforts to connect model components from different domains, new domains are identified where global hydrology is now starting to become an integral part of the analyses. Finally, inspired by these new domains of application, persistent and emerging challenges are identified as well as the directions global hydrology is likely to take in the coming decade and beyond.
Key Points:
Review of global hydrology over the period 1969–2015
Identification of recent trends
Vision on future trends and challenges