UNIVERSI
TÄ
TS-
BIBLIOTHEK
P
ADERBORN
Anmelden
Menü
Menü
Start
Hilfe
Blog
Weitere Dienste
Neuerwerbungslisten
Fachsystematik Bücher
Erwerbungsvorschlag
Bestellung aus dem Magazin
Fernleihe
Einstellungen
Sprache
Deutsch
Deutsch
Englisch
Farbschema
Hell
Dunkel
Automatisch
Sie befinden Sich nicht im Netzwerk der Universität Paderborn. Der Zugriff auf elektronische Ressourcen ist
gegebenenfalls
nur via VPN oder Shibboleth (DFN-AAI) möglich.
mehr Informationen...
Universitätsbibliothek
Katalog
Suche
Details
Zur Ergebnisliste
Ergebnis 24 von 844
Datensatz exportieren als...
BibTeX
Lightning-caused forest fire risk in Northwestern Ontario, Canada, is increasing and associated with anomalies in fire weather
Environmetrics (London, Ont.), 2014-09, Vol.25 (6), p.406-416
Woolford, Douglas G.
Dean, C.B.
Martell, David L.
Cao, Jiguo
Wotton, B.M.
2014
Volltextzugriff (PDF)
Details
Autor(en) / Beteiligte
Woolford, Douglas G.
Dean, C.B.
Martell, David L.
Cao, Jiguo
Wotton, B.M.
Titel
Lightning-caused forest fire risk in Northwestern Ontario, Canada, is increasing and associated with anomalies in fire weather
Ist Teil von
Environmetrics (London, Ont.), 2014-09, Vol.25 (6), p.406-416
Ort / Verlag
Blackwell Publishing Ltd
Erscheinungsjahr
2014
Quelle
Wiley Online Library All Journals
Beschreibungen/Notizen
Results from studies of climate model scenarios suggest that forest fire ignitions will increase in Canada in the future because of climate change. Yet, there have been few studies that monitor long‐term trends in Canadian historical fire records. Although there are seasonal trends to historically reported fires within a fire season, there are also periods of zero‐heavy behaviour as well as periods during which more fires are reported than usual. We develop a flexible mixture‐modelling framework that permits the joint assessment of temporal trends in these dominant characteristics in terms of fire risk, defined as the daily probability that one or more fires are reported. The statistical power of such trend tests are also evaluated. We identify statistically significant increases in lightning‐caused fire risk between 1963 and 2009 in the boreal forest regions of the Rainy River and Lake of the Woods ecoregions in Northwestern Ontario, Canada. These observed changes in lightning‐caused fire risk were found to be associated with temperature and fire danger rating index anomalies. If such trends continue into the future, the duration of elevated periods of lightning‐caused forest fire risk is forecasted to increase by over 50% by the middle of this century. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Sprache
Englisch
Identifikatoren
ISSN: 1180-4009
eISSN: 1099-095X
DOI: 10.1002/env.2278
Titel-ID: cdi_proquest_miscellaneous_1678019852
Format
–
Schlagworte
Anomalies
,
Assessments
,
Climate change
,
Fires
,
Forest fires
,
ignition
,
logistic GAM
,
Monitors
,
power
,
Risk
,
Trends
,
wildfire
,
wildland fire
,
zero heavy
Weiterführende Literatur
Empfehlungen zum selben Thema automatisch vorgeschlagen von
bX