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The review of economics and statistics, 2024-03, Vol.106 (2), p.483-504
Ort / Verlag
Cambridge: MIT Press Journals, The
Erscheinungsjahr
2024
Link zum Volltext
Quelle
MIT Press Journals
Beschreibungen/Notizen
Abstract This paper develops a novel dataset of weekly economic conditions indices for the 50 U.S. states going back to 1987 based on mixed-frequency dynamic factor models with weekly, monthly, and quarterly variables that cover multiple dimensions of state economies. We find considerable cross-state heterogeneity in the length, depth, and timing of business cycles. We illustrate the usefulness of these state-level indices for quantifying the main contributors to the economic collapse caused by the COVID-19 pandemic and for evaluating the effectiveness of the Paycheck Protection Program. We also propose an aggregate indicator that gauges the overall weakness of the U.S. economy.