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The Impact of Business Cycle Conditions on Firm Dynamics and Composition
Ist Teil von
The Journal of economic history, 2023-06, Vol.83 (2), p.398-430
Ort / Verlag
New York, USA: Cambridge University Press
Erscheinungsjahr
2023
Quelle
Alma/SFX Local Collection
Beschreibungen/Notizen
This paper estimates the causal impact of short-term aggregate fluctuations in Egypt, 1911–48, using global cotton price shocks. Firm entry was procyclical, and exit was acyclical. There were persistent differences between cohorts over the cycle; expansionary cohorts were of lower quality. The evidence supports models of firm entry with ex-ante heterogeneity. The findings highlight the extensive margin of entry as the primary adjustment mechanism. As a result, recessions had a strong “isolation” effect. This nature of firm entry amplified and propagated temporary price shocks.