Details

Autor(en) / Beteiligte

• McKelvey, Steven C.
• Koch, Frank H.
• Smith, William D.
• Hawley, Kelly R.

Titel

A Bayesian model identifying locations at risk from human‐transported exotic pathogens

Ist Teil von

• Natural resource modeling, 2021-11, Vol.34 (4), p.n/a

Ort / Verlag

Hoboken: John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Erscheinungsjahr

2021

Link zum Volltext

Quelle

Wiley Online Library E-Journals

Beschreibungen/Notizen

• A two‐phase Bayesian model is presented for updating risk assessments for locations susceptible to infection by exotic pathogens. Human transportation from previously infected regions to uninfected regions is the main dispersal mechanism. Information embedded in patterns within the transportation flow are exploited in the update process. We explore the sensitivity of the model's outputs to changes in inputs. A sample application of the model to sudden oak death, using fictitious infection data, is performed.