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Simultaneous Model Calibration and Source Inversion in Atmospheric Dispersion Models
Ist Teil von
Pure and applied geophysics, 2021-03, Vol.178 (3), p.757-776
Ort / Verlag
Cham: Springer International Publishing
Erscheinungsjahr
2021
Link zum Volltext
Quelle
SpringerLink
Beschreibungen/Notizen
We present a cost-effective method for model calibration and solution of source inversion problems in atmospheric dispersion modelling. We use Gaussian process emulations of atmospheric dispersion models within a Bayesian framework for solution of inverse problems. The model and source parameters are treated as unknowns and we obtain point estimates and approximation of uncertainties for sources while simultaneously calibrating the forward model. The method is validated in the context of an industrial case study involving emissions from a smelting operation for which cumulative monthly measurements of zinc particulate depositions are available.