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Quantitative assessment on the effects of reforestation and climate variability on the seasonal streamflow in Pingjiang watershed using the extended Budyko model
The seasonal changes of streamflow in the watershed reflect the dynamic characteristics of water resources within a year. In forested watersheds, it is generally accepted that forest cover change and climate variability are considered as two critical driving factors to affect hydrological processes. Thus, quantifying the effects of reforestation and climate variability on seasonal streamflow dynamics provides scientific basis for balancing regional carbon and water resources and developing sustainable forest management strategies in the context of global climate change. The Pingjiang watershed, which is located in the upper reach of Poyang Lake basin in subtropical China, was selected for this study. The entire study period consists of the reference period(1961-1985) and the reforestation period(1986-2006), based on the history of forest coverage dynamics. The method of Mann-Kendall trend analysis was used to detect whether trends in the hydroclimatic variables significantly varied over a long-term period. Me