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Details

Autor(en) / Beteiligte
Titel
Trakya Bölgesi'nde Iklim Degisikliginin Bugday Verimine Etkisinin AquaCrop ve WOFOST Modeller ile Tahmin Edilmesi
Ist Teil von
  • Tekirdağ Ziraat Fakültesi dergisi, 2020-01, Vol.17 (1), p.77-95
Ort / Verlag
Tekirdag: Namik Kemal University
Erscheinungsjahr
2020
Link zum Volltext
Quelle
EZB Electronic Journals Library
Beschreibungen/Notizen
  • [...]in the short term, an average 0.27 °C decrease in temperature were forecasted whereas 1,43 °C and 3,05 °C increase were estimated for medium and long terms, respectively when compared to model reference years. In order to mitigate the negative effects of climate change, it is necessary to first estimate the climate change, then to evaluate the effects of possible changes on agricultural production and to take necessary measures. [...]in the short term, an average 0,27 °C decrease in temperature were forecasted whereas 1,43 °C and 3,05 °C increase were estimated for medium and long terms, respectively when compared to model reference years. Model calibration for the growth period 2016-2017 was performed by altering the change of vegetation according to phenological stages, maximum root length, reference harvest index in AquaCrop Model whereas TSUM1 (Thermal time from emergence to anthesis), TSUM2 (Thermal time from anthesis to maturity) and AMAXTB (Maximum leaf CO2 assimilation rate as a function of development stage of the crop) values in WOFOST Model. [...]AquaCrop Model predicted yield increases up to 50% in Akıncılar and Çövenli and yield decreases of 6% - 34% in Sofular whereas WOFOST Model predicted increases of 40% in Akıncılar and 12% in Sofular and decrease up to 2 - 7% in Çövenli.
Sprache
Türkisch
Identifikatoren
ISSN: 1302-7050
eISSN: 1302-7050
DOI: 10.33462/jotaf.593883
Titel-ID: cdi_proquest_journals_2453168827

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