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The Relationship between Immigration and the Success of Far-Right Political Parties in Germany
Ist Teil von
Ifo DICE report, 2017-12, Vol.15 (4), p.20-23
Ort / Verlag
Munich: Ifo Institute
Erscheinungsjahr
2017
Link zum Volltext
Quelle
BSC - Ebsco (Business Source Ultimate)
Beschreibungen/Notizen
The success of the far-right party Alternative für Deutschland (AFD) in recent national elections in Germany has once again highlighted the importance of attitudes towards immigration and its political consequences. Although the massive influx of refugees that Germany experienced mainly in 2015 had ceased by 2016, immigration and its consequences for German society turned out to be a dominant topic during the election campaign in 2017Nonetheless, the graph nicely illustrates the political situation and dilemma in Germany during the refugee crisis in 2015 and 2016.[...]the pattern highlights the importance to incorporate the time dimension in an empirical analysis of the link between immigration and extreme voting.[...]this was a period during which massive immigration - mainly driven by asylum seekers and refugees - gained importance in the political sphere.To measure the effect of a rising foreigner share on local election results, we employed a fixed effects model for 103 city districts and 7 elections (federal elections and state elections).Since foreigners from EU member countries were allowed to vote in borough and European Parliament elections, we focused on federal and state elections.[...]on the district level we can almost rule out that the labour market channel played a substantial role in explaining election outcomes during this period.