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In search of the determinants of European asset market comovements
Ist Teil von
International review of economics & finance, 2016-07, Vol.44, p.103-117
Ort / Verlag
Greenwich: Elsevier Inc
Erscheinungsjahr
2016
Quelle
Alma/SFX Local Collection
Beschreibungen/Notizen
We show, in a broad class of affine general equilibrium models with long-run risk, that the covariances between asset returns are linear functions of risk factors. We use a dynamic conditional correlation model to measure the covariances of stock and sovereign bond markets in the Euro Area. We use a new approach to measure risk factors based on Google search data. The factors explain 50 to 60% of the variation of the covariances between European stocks and 25 to 35% of the covariances between European bonds. The information improves the portfolio performance compared to an equally weighted portfolio.
•We study the comovement of stock and sovereign bond markets of the Euro Area.•We use a DDC model to measure the covariances between returns.•We use a new approach to measure risk factors based on Google search data.•These correlate with economic indicators and are available at a weekly frequency.•The factors explain 55% (35%) of the covariances between stocks (sovereign bonds).