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Toward an Integrative Theory of Hypothesis Generation, Probability Judgment, and Hypothesis Testing
Ist Teil von
Psychology of Learning and Motivation, 2010, Vol.52, p.299-342
Ort / Verlag
United States: Elsevier Science & Technology
Erscheinungsjahr
2010
Link zum Volltext
Quelle
ScienceDirect eBooks
Beschreibungen/Notizen
Basic-level memory processes have long been viewed as important for understanding judgment and decision-making behavior—a view that was established by Tversky and Kahneman [1974. Science 185, 1124–1131] in their seminal work on heuristics and biases, and which was carried forth throughout the last 35years. Nevertheless, theoretical progress in explicating the link between memory and judgment has been slow, despite the fact that many important advances in understanding memory have emerged. In this chapter, we provide an integrative account of judgment and decision making based on the HyGene model, which links the processes involved with judgment and choice to the predecisional processes of option generation and memory retrieval. HyGene is implemented as a fully functioning memory model, but incorporates processes that enable it account a variety of phenomena within the judgment and decision-making literature.