PloS one, 2015-07, Vol.10 (7), p.e0132326-e0132326
2015
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Details
- Autor(en) / Beteiligte
- Titel
- Predicting Impacts of Future Climate Change on the Distribution of the Widespread Conifer Platycladus orientalis
- Ist Teil von
- PloS one, 2015-07, Vol.10 (7), p.e0132326-e0132326
- Ort / Verlag
- United States: Public Library of Science
- Erscheinungsjahr
- 2015
- Quelle
- Free E-Journal (出版社公開部分のみ）
- Beschreibungen/Notizen
- Chinese thuja (Platycladus orientalis) has a wide but fragmented distribution in China. It is an important conifer tree in reforestation and plays important roles in ecological restoration in the arid mountains of northern China. Based on high-resolution environmental data for current and future scenarios, we modeled the present and future suitable habitat for P. orientalis, evaluated the importance of environmental factors in shaping the species' distribution, and identified regions of high risk under climate change scenarios. The niche models showed that P. orientalis has suitable habitat of ca. 4.2×106 km2 across most of eastern China and identified annual temperature, monthly minimum and maximum ultraviolet-B radiation and wet-day frequency as the critical factors shaping habitat availability for P. orientalis. Under the low concentration greenhouse gas emissions scenario, the range of the species may increase as global warming intensifies; however, under the higher concentrations of emissions scenario, we predicted a slight expansion followed by contraction in distribution. Overall, the range shift to higher latitudes and elevations would become gradually more significant. The information gained from this study should be an useful reference for implementing long-term conservation and management strategies for the species.
- Sprache
- Englisch
- Identifikatoren
- ISSN: 1932-6203eISSN: 1932-6203DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0132326Titel-ID: cdi_plos_journals_1692759516
- Format
- –
- Schlagworte
- Air pollution, Altitude, Analysis, Annual temperatures, Aridity, Biodiversity, Biogeography, Biology, China, Climate Change, Climate change scenarios, Climate models, Conservation, Contraction, Ecology, Ecosystem, Ecosystem biology, Ecosystems, Education, Emissions, Engineering, Environmental factors, Environmental risk, Forecasting, Forestry, Future climates, Genetics, Global temperature changes, Global warming, Greenhouse effect, Greenhouse gases, Habitat availability, Habitats, Humidity, Impact prediction, Laboratories, Models, Theoretical, Mountains, Pinus, Plant Dispersal, Platycladus orientalis, Pollutants, Radiation, Reforestation, Restoration, Science, Species, Systems stability, Temperature, Thuja, Trees, Trends, U.V. radiation, Ultraviolet radiation, Vegetation, Wildlife conservation