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A Computerized Method for Delay Risk Assessment Based on Fuzzy Set Theory using MS ProjectTM
Ist Teil von
KSCE Journal of Civil Engineering, 2018, 22(8), , pp.2714-2725
Ort / Verlag
대한토목학회
Erscheinungsjahr
2018
Link zum Volltext
Quelle
SpringerLink (Online service)
Beschreibungen/Notizen
In this paper, we present a computerized method as an add-in to MS ProjectTM for risk identification and estimation of delay. Adelay analysis ontology is incorporated so that the users can identify causes of delay at the activity level and assess frequency andimpact of risks using their previous experience, expertise and judgement. Testing and validation findings demonstrate that thesoftware is easy to use and gives reliable results. Decision-makers can use this software during risk identification and planning phasesto incorporate their judgment about potential risk sources that may lead to project delay. The outputs of the software make it easy fordecision-makers to understand the level of delay risk at the activity level, explore how criticality of activities may change underdifferent risk occurrence scenarios and estimate amount of delay. By utilizing the software, effective risk response and allocationstrategies may be formulated to mitigate the delay risk and communicate delay risk information between various project participants. KCI Citation Count: 0