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In 2009, Queen Elizabeth visited the Economics Department of the London School of Economics, discussed the financial crisis, and asked a simple question: “Why did no one see it coming?” It was a good question, but one that could now be expanded, because there were two failures.
First, there was a failure to foresee the crisis coming at all—a failure in, say, 2005 or 2006 or 2007 to understand that we were heading toward a major financial crash. There were some notable exceptions. To different degrees, Nouriel Roubini, Raghu Rajan, and Bill White issued some warnings. But on the