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•Using deep temporal convolutional networks for building simulation surrogate models.•Deep network processes annual hourly weather time series data (≈150,000 inputs).•Accurate emulation of simulation outcomes for all locations in Canada.•3% error in estimating annual heating demand for unseen locations and building designs.•Reasonable accuracy (R2=0.92) in estimating hourly demands given weather data.
Surrogate models can emulate physics-based building energy simulation with a machine learning model trained on simulation input and output data. The trained model is extremely fast to run, allowing us to estimate simulation outcomes for thousands of different building designs in seconds. Recent studies have shown the diverse benefits for sustainable building design. Surrogates were applied to provide rapid feedback at the early design stage, to accelerate sensitivity analysis, uncertainty analysis and design optimization, or to improve building model calibration.
However, the current process of surrogate modelling offers much room for improvement. In particular, a surrogate model is bound to the specific building design problem it has been trained for. This includes a specific site, requiring time-intensive retraining if the building performance at another location is to be analysed.
In this paper, we develop a single surrogate model that spans arbitrarily many locations. For that purpose, we are among the first to use a deep temporal convolutional neural network to process annual multivariate weather data with hourly resolution (≈150,000 inputs). The network learns features relevant to estimate heating or cooling demand. We combine these location-specific weather features with building design parameters to serve as input to a single surrogate model (feed-forward neural network). In a case study with 569 weather files from locations in Canada, we show that the surrogate model deviates by less than 3% when predicting annual heating demand for new building designs at locations outside of the training data set.